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You are listening to a Fond Media Network production. Hello
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World Blade listeners. On today's episode, I welcome back Curvin Oakwyn,
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host of This Week Explain and owner of oakwn Analytics.
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Curvin gives us his assessment and insight on what's going
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on with the peace negotiations between Trump and Putin and
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what that means for the war in Ukraine. We then
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move our attention on to comments made by jd Vance
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to the EU and how that affects our relationships, as
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well as Trump's statement about America owning Gaza. This is
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a very insightful conversation. Okay, so now we're recording and
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welcome back Curvin.
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He thank you.
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This is our second time starting this according because Riverside
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just didn't like us for some reason. No jab at Riverside,
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but maybe our hardware or mine isn't isn't up to
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up to snuff, I guess, but whatever. Anyway, we're on
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Zoom and you had a lot to say on everything
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that's going on recently, and I needed to hit you
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up on what's happening because we need clarity, right So
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we got we got Trump saying I'm making a deal
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with with Putin and Vladimore's Zelensky or Vladimir is Lynsky
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saying I'm not going to be involved with that, or
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they're not letting him be involved with it, and then
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he doesn't. He's saying that, well, I'm not sure I
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agree to a piece deal. You have Trump saying that
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we're gonna own Gaza and run it whatever that means,
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and I mean what else? Oh and JD. Van's telling
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the EU that they need to step up and basically
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protect themselves and then calls them out on whether or
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not they're democratic enough for their own citizens. So, yeah,
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there's a lot to be said just on that. I'm
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sure they want to start. I'm gonna let you start
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because I know that I know that you have definitely
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insight and opinions as well as data I'm sure just
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off the top of your head to present on all
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of this. Actually, you know, let's do this curve. Let's
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start with let's start with the Ukraine piece deal or
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you know, the alleged piece deal that that's happening. What
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is your overall thoughts on that? You know, it's is Trump?
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Is Trump taking the right approach? And and and also
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you know he's he's a businessman, and he's really big
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on we're giving you X amount of money, So now
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you're going to have to use your mineral rights as
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collateral and give us those rights that we can be
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paid back on everything we invested into Ukraine. What do
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you think?
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Yeah, I think you absolutely said it, Uh correct at
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the very beginning. He's a businessman, he's not a politician,
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and that's why people love him, and that's why people
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hate him. So starting off with the with the Ukraine
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peace deal is the perfect way to do this because
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I think that is what is getting the most to
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play in the media and on social media, and it's
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that first that he admitted he talked to Vladimir Putin,
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and people are getting upset about that. Get I get
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Vladimir Putin as the aggressor in this, but you have
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to talk to both sides. Biden's issue his entire administration
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since the war kicked off in Ukraine or rekicked off
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some would say, in twenty twenty two in February of
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twenty twenty two, is that there was no dialogue with Putin.
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After that there was only dialogue with Selensky. And so
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if you are a mediator and you're only having conversations
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with one side. You're not going to come to a deal.
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So I don't get this uproar about oh you know,
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I mean, I get it. Yes, I do get it.
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Trump's a puppet for Russia and Putin. That's what everybody
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on the left believes, everyone who dislikes and believes he's
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just some Putin puppet. Having worked within the Department of
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Defense in overt Russian anti Russian aggression during the Trump administration,
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I can tell you he's not a puppet for Putin. Yes,
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the things that he says in public are used or
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through the media in open dialogue are usually things that
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are discussed in private. I brought this up with somebody
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recently who was wondering about the Hamas situation and how
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Trump said publicly in an open interview that if Hamas
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doesn't release all of the hostages, not just the three
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hostages agreed upon during the ceasefire, that the ceasefire is
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going to be null and void, and Israel's gonna be
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able to do everything that they want and the purpose.
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Like the person said that, he can't say that, why
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would he do that? And my my response to that was,
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these are the exact conversations that every administration has during
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these situations, but it's done behind closed doors. It's done
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face to face to whoever right. If you're saying it
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to Benjamin Netanyah, who you would say behind closed doors
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to Benjamin Netanyah, Who's face. That's the difference with Trump,
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and the reason he does that is because he understands
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that the only way to hold people accountable is by publicly,
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either publicly shaming them or publicly identifying the left and
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right modes of the deal. And that's what he did
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public Look, Barack Obama would have said the exact same
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thing behind closed doors to who, to the leadership in
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in Hamas, to the leadership of Iran. That's it he
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would have said. And you can love or hate Obama
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for whatever kind of actions he did publicly, he was
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very diplomatic about things. And I can tell you when
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having worked in that administration from a special operations standpoint,
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that behind the scenes was a completely different person. Behind
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the scenes, he would hold people accountable to their face.
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So what we're seeing is somebody who does that in
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a public sphere, and a lot of people around the world.
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Leaders from around the world do not like that. They
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do not like their dirty laundry to be aired out,
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and Trump doesn't care, and that's what he's gonna do.
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I think that's an excellent point because what you said
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about him negotiating and holding people accountable, He's using the
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public to hold world leaders and other leaders, even in
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our own country in America, accountable, and that's never been done.
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I talked about this with my brother on one of
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our shows we do and I'm so glad you're saying it,
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because nobody is saying this. They're not understanding what he's doing.
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I'm not saying he's perfect, believe me. Trump is a
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wild card for sure, but the way he's going about this,
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you got to say or admit it's it's pretty smart
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of him to do because it's getting things done. Mean,
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you know, before, in behind closed doors, most of these
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situations would never we wouldn't see any progress. We just wouldn't.
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And I'm not I can't understand his tactic others other
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than it is all about negotiations. I also can't understand,
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going back to what you said, is as to why
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are people so upset that he's engaging Putin and trying
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to have a conversation to see if we can come
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to a deal, and then Zelensky's going out publicly saying
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I'm not gonna support any piece deal, and I'm trying
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to understand that and why the EU is now hating
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the America for even having Trump even mention Putin's name. Oh,
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he's the enemy. You shouldn't be talking or negotiating with
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him at all. But then all of a sudden they
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backtrack and now they want to negotiate themselves with Putin
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for getting the energy back from Russia because it's it's
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more robust and reliable than whether what they're trying to
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do now. It's like there's there's way too many contradictions
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going on right now with what's happening with Europe, Russia,
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and Ukraine. It's like I'm trying to cut to them
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through the noise. It's like you were talking about social
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media earlier offline before we started recording. It's like, it's
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so hard, it's so hard to vet the information because
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you know, our mainstream media isn't doing a good job
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of it. A lot of people turn to social media
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because a lot of investigative journalists and people on the
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inside are now just using their platforms to get the
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info out, but it is really still really hard to
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cut through the noise.
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I want to go back to why would Selensky say
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the things that he's saying. Why does the EU say
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what they're It's this is all leverage, and that in
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any negotiation, that's what you want. You want to have
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the leverage in the negotiation to get what you want. Now,
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on the EU side, when they talk about you, you
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cannot talk to Putin. You cannot have a conversation with Putin.
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That is more telling about themselves than it is about
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Vladimir Putin. And here's the reason I say that. And
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I say that on a personal level as well, when
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I talk to people who have an emotional response to something,
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and the Stoics say this as well, Your immediate response
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to what somebody tells you says more about yourself than
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it does the person that you're responding to. And I
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think that's what we have with the EU right now,
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the EU or the European Union or Europe as a
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whole to and I'll put Canada in this as well.
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They're getting dragged through the mud, So why don't I
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do that as well? They were lied to by Putin
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for months leading up to the invasion of Ukraine. There
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is that very famous photo of Macron from France on
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the other side of one hundred foot table with Putin,
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and they came away from that, so they had a discussion.
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That was Macron and Putin having a discussion. Macron came
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away from that and said, I have talked to the guy.
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I looked him in the eyes. I trust him. He
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says he's not going to invade. Two weeks later, he
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invades Ukraine. I think some of that is a trust
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issue with Europe because they were wrong. This is the
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whole reason I started my podcast was to call out
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Russia for their aggressive actions on Ukraine because I saw
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the war coming and I was trying to prevent it.
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I was trying to get enough information out there that
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people would listen and maybe prevent this special military operation
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in Ukraine. And it didn't happen because European leaders said
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they thought they were smarter than everybody else. They sat
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in a room with Putin and he liked them. He said,
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I'm not looking to invade Ukraine. I'm just trying to
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stop NATO from further expansion. At that point, NATO had
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no desire to expand Sweden, Finland, Ukraine. Yeah, they talked about,
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oh maybe we would invite them, but none of those
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countries had publicly put up and offered themselves to be
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invited into NATO. And that's how NATO works. If anybody
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is listening, you don't know how NATO works. NATO doesn't
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just pick a country and then vote and say now
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you are officially in NATO and you have you can't
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agree or disagree with that. What happens is a country
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like Sweden and Finland, which we just saw, will ask
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to be invited in to NATO. NATO will have a
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debate about it and say is this country does this
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country spend enough in defense? Are they, you know, not
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corrupt enough to be involved in NATO? And then every
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single country has to approve it. Every single country, one
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percent of the countries have to approve NATO membership. That's
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how it works. NATO doesn't get to just go now
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you're a part of it, because if they could, they
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would have just gone Russia, now you're a part of
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NATO and putin you're out as president. That I do
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believe has some Russians worried because they think that is
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how it works. That's that's not how it works. I
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don't think Ukraine will ever. I'm not going to say
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never because I don't work in absolutes. You know that
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it would take decades to get Ukraine into NATO because
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it's corrupt, Their military spending is not enough, their economy
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isn't stable enough. They just wouldn't be allowed into NATO.
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Well, let's talk about that NATO Peaceful Festival. Okay, Even
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with that being said, because this is a great explanation
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of NATO membership, it's not. It's not just suddenly one
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person goes, hey, we're gonna make this country apart in
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NATO and use it as a weaponization method against another country,
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way to way to defend or weaponize against another country.
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But did you did you feel or did you know
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if Russia was looking at NATO as slowly encroaching closer
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and closer in on their territories. Is that a truth
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or was that just a talking point made up to
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just steer the public towards, you know, whatever support that
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the administration wanted at the time.
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Yeah, look, so I think two things can be true
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at the same time. I do think that Russia as
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a whole is was very or is very nervous about
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NATO encroachment. They saw it in Bosnia whenever they were
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asked to come in and defend with the war between
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the Bossians and the Serbs. I do think that was
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a legitimate fear, And I also think the other thing
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is true that Putin used that fear to invade Ukraine
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under the auspice of him saying, well, we just want
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to protect ourselves and we're going to bring back the
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Russian speaking portions of Ukraine back into Russia where they belong,
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where Ukrainian citizens actually feel more Russian than they do Ukrainian.
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Oh but wait, if that's true, why in the first
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few weeks did you try to take over Kiv and
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install your government into Kiev and they failed miserably? And
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we cannot forget about that, because I do think Putin
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wants He's got the Russian people forgetting about it. But
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I think on the global stage, we can't forget about that.
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He made a move for Kiv. Anyone who tells you